Monday, March 16, 2009

Bracket Breakdown

So how did we do? Here's a breakdown of ours' and some other notable brackets using some data from The Bracket Project Blog and our scoring system (QPI).


 

Teams Picked Correctly

Seeded Exactly

Seeded Within One

Parrish Score

Paymon Score

QPI

The Quest

64

29

55

148

305

51

B1011

64

35

52

151

314

48

Palm2

64

34

54

152

314

50

BP3

64

31

57

152

311

51

CBS4

64

31

56

151

310

50

ESPN5

64

30

55

149

307

50

FOX6

65

31

52

148

309

55

SI7

64

29

53

146

303

57

Yahoo8

64

23

55

142

293

57

(1 = Bracketology 101, 2= Jerry Palm, 3 = The Bracket Project, 4 = CBS Sports, 5 = ESPN's Bracketology, 6 = Fox Sports, 7 = Sports Illustrated, 8 = Yahoo! Sports)


Overall, we performed well against those who either have this as a part of their occupation or take it far more seriously than we did. What's interesting is the difference in scores. Our Parrish and Paymon scores would indicate that our bracket would be comparable to the FOX and Sports Illustrated brackets. However our QPI shows that our bracket is clearly much better. Take a look at this data and decide for yourself.

 

Picked Correctly

Seeded Exactly

Off by 1

Off by 2

Off by 3

Off by 4

Off by 2 or more

The Quest

64

29

26

7

2

0

9

B1011

64

35

17

11

1

0

12

Palm2

64

34

20

7

3

0

10

BP3

64

31

26

4

2

1

7

CBS4

64

31

25

6

1

1

8

ESPN5

64

30

25

8

1

0

9

FOX6

65

31

21

7

4

2

13

SI7

64

29

24

7

4

0

11

Yahoo8

64

23

32

8

1

0

9


According to this data, I feel our bracket compares best to that of ESPN and I think this shows that the QPI is a better measure than the other scoring systems.

For our first real attempt at bracketology, I'm happy with our results.

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Final Bracket

Here's our final bracket prediction for the 2009 Tournament. The star denotes a team is an automatic qualifier.


 

Rank

Seed

Team

1

1

North Carolina

2

1

Louisville*

3

1

Pittsburgh

4

1

Memphis*

5

2

Connecticut

6

2

Duke*

7

2

Michigan State

8

2

Oklahoma

9

3

Kansas

10

3

Missouri*

11

3

Villanova

12

3

Wake Forest

13

4

Syracuse

14

4

Washington

15

4

Florida State

16

4

Purdue*

17

5

Gonzaga*

18

5

Clemson

19

5

Xavier

20

5

UCLA

21

6

West Virginia

22

6

Illinois

23

6

LSU

24

6

Arizona State

25

7

Tennessee

26

7

California

27

7

Marquette

28

7

Ohio State

29

8

Utah*

30

8

Texas

31

8

Oklahoma State

32

8

BYU

33

9

Butler

34

9

Minnesota

35

9

Dayton

36

9

Texas A&M

37

10

Boston College

38

10

Wisconsin

39

10

Michigan

40

10

Utah State*

41

11

Maryland

42

11

USC*

43

11

Temple*

44

11

Siena*

45

12

San Diego State

46

12

Mississippi State*

47

12

Northern Iowa*

48

12

VCU*

49

13

Western Kentucky*

50

13

Cleveland State*

51

13

North Dakota State*

52

13

Akron*

53

14

Binghamton*

54

14

American*

55

14

Stephen F. Austin*

56

14

Portland State*

57

15

East Tennessee State*

58

15

Robert Morris*

59

15

Radford*

60

15

Morgan State*

61

16

Cornell*

62

16

Cal State Northridge*

63

16

Morehead State*

64

16

Chattanooga*

65

16

Alabama State*


 

Last Four In: Wisconsin, Michigan, Maryland, San Diego State

Last Four Out: Arizona, Florida, Penn State, Creighton

Next Four Out: UNLV, South Carolina, Miami, Saint Mary's


 

Bracket 3/15 Pre-Conference Finals

Here's our bracket before the conference tournaments finish today. The star denotes a team is an automatic qualifier.


 

Rank

Seed

Team

1

1

North Carolina

2

1

Louisville*

3

1

Pittsburgh

4

1

Memphis*

5

2

Connecticut

6

2

Duke

7

2

Michigan State

8

2

Oklahoma

9

3

Kansas

10

3

Missouri*

11

3

Villanova

12

3

Wake Forest

13

4

Syracuse

14

4

Washington

15

4

Florida State

16

4

Gonzaga*

17

5

Purdue

18

5

Clemson

19

5

Xavier

20

5

UCLA

21

6

West Virginia

22

6

Illinois

23

6

LSU

24

6

Arizona State

25

7

Tennessee

26

7

California

27

7

Marquette

28

7

Ohio State

29

8

Utah*

30

8

Texas

31

8

Oklahoma State

32

8

BYU

33

9

Butler

34

9

Minnesota

35

9

Dayton

36

9

Texas A&M

37

10

Boston College

38

10

Wisconsin

39

10

Maryland

40

10

Utah State*

41

11

Michigan

42

11

San Diego State

43

11

Arizona

44

11

USC*

45

12

Temple*

46

12

Siena*

47

12

UNI*

48

12

VCU*

49

13

Western Kentucky*

50

13

Cleveland State*

51

13

North Dakota State*

52

13

Akron*

53

14

Binghamton*

54

14

American*

55

14

Stephen F. Austin

56

14

Portland State*

57

15

East Tennessee State*

58

15

Robert Morris*

59

15

Radford*

60

15

Morgan State*

61

16

Cornell*

62

16

Cal State Northridge*

63

16

Morehead State*

64

16

Chattanooga*

65

16

Alabama State*


 

Last Four In: Maryland, Michigan, San Diego State, Arizona

Last Four Out: Florida, Penn State, Creighton, UNLV

Next Four Out: South Carolina, Miami, Saint Mary's, New Mexico